clawsfour

The biggest wins are against the odds...

Labour is always fighting against the odds. Even when we've had a substantial commons majority, the fourth estate, the Lords, Uncle Tom Cobley have lined up to make change in favour of the ordinary decent hard-working individuals and families of the UK a fight against the odds.

The viral campaign to launch Labour's latest Party Political Broadcast has also picked up on the theme of one person's struggle to get their message across.

And I'm more than happy to share the sentiment. And share the video. Lest we forget.

Cameron on the rocks.

I am terribly sad but I cannot watch my country head for the rocks, which it will do if Cameron becomes Prime Minister and has no allies in the major governments of the European Union.

Christopher Beazley MEP
Conservative

Could have finished his sentence a dozen words earlier, but sentiment is spot on.

Spend, spend, spend

...just not on your election campaign.

There is a new Political Parties and Elections Bill tip-toeing it's way through parliament at the moment, and it's trying very hard not to scare the horses.

Bits of it are straightforward and long overdue - like making sure the Electoral Commision has some commissioners with party political experience. The new clause which should be the most contentious - making spending by candidates on their own election more transparent and, at the same time, limiting the arms race - is sliding through without a ripple.

And that is because, in an effort to square the circle of limiting spending whilst retaining all party support, the committee of MPs looking at this have come up with a completely unworkable and complex solution. I won't bore you with the incomprehensible details. Suffice it to say that these rules kick in 5 months before the end of parliament. But only if the parliament runs for a full five years. There are all sorts of pro-rata arrangements for shorter parliaments. Anyhow, you now know enough for my primary point, which is....

This is yet another reason for fixed term parliaments. If the greatest democracy in the world (?) can function by electing a President every four years, the the mother of all parliaments should be able to cope with a regular birthday. There are lots of good reasons for this but in the context of the Political Parties Bill, it would make the control of election spending straightforward for the professional party staff and volunteers to implement and for the regulators to monitor.

So come on Jack Straw.
Wadda we want?
FIXED TERM PARLIAMENTS.
Whenda we want em?
EVERY FOUR YEARS!

Can Labour emulate Tories' 1992 victory?

Well yes, obviously.

But here is a nice piece by Will Woodward, the Guardian's Head of Politics, which poses the question quite neatly. And points to a possible answer.

Clear red water

Well if anyone thought the Pre-Budget report was going to be the usual, slightly pointless, Pre-Christmas report about the state of the economy then a quick glance along the newspaper shelves this morning will disabuse you.

The right wing media are mourning the death of new Labour (didn't care much for new Labour previously, I seem to remember) and pointing to a Britain on the edge of bankruptcy. The centre ground cautiously suggest a brave move (although most reserve their positon to change this to a foolhardy move if it all goes wrong). And the left media........ oh, I forgot.

What is certain is that there is now the sharpest political divide since Cameron tried to rest the centre ground from Labour by claiming the inheritance to Tony Blair. Rather than being swept into insignificance by accepting the need to support the government when the country is facing economic difficulties, Cameron has gone for the high risk separation. The Tories have set their stall out against  the economic package announced yesterday in a very stark way. The clash between a government which believes intervention is necessary to help stimulate the economy and an opposition which will leave everything to the markets (just remember the last time they did that) could not be more clear.

And the game is now on for the General Election. if the measure announced by the Chancellor gain some traction in the next 12 months, then labour will be home and hosed. If they fail, then Gordon Brown will have gift-wrapped an electoral advantage to the Tories.

Labour can win

And if it's in the Torygraph it must be true.

Although to be fair, as they say in the best football commentaries, it was written by Douglas Alexander - sometimes in charge of Labour's election campaigns. Sometimes not. Even when he is.

Anyhow, I don't often read the Torygraph. And for those of the rest of the world who don't either here is what DA had to say.

Let's be honest, neither David Cameron nor Gordon Brown are instantly recognisable as a British Barack Obama. There haven't been goat herders in Surrey or Fife for a long time. Yet last week's victory was not simply a victory for an extraordinary individual; it was also a victory for a body of ideas. As the Nobel prize-winning economist Paul Krugman observes: "This year's presidential election was a clear referendum on political philosophies - and the progressive philosophy won."
At the core of Obama's campaign was a belief that only progressive politics had the answers to the challenges of the time. Relentlessly, he made the case for government action in responding to the problems faced in the economy, in energy and environment policy, in education and in healthcare.

No going back

The Labour Party needs to urgently fill the vacuum of not having a Labour candidate for Mayor of London.  

That vacuum is being, not filled, but highlighted by the launch of Livingstone's ludicrous campaign to be reselected. Having almost single-handedly lost the last election he now wants to ensure Boris has the easiest ride to a second term. 

Livingstone would do better to heed the tone and message of the defeated US candidate John McCain. If he doesn't stand aside gracefully to allow the considered selection of a new candidate, the Labour Party should once again sweep him aside and start the process now of selecting the best woman or man to take on Boris (and the bitteratti).

Getting pumped up

The real scandal about George Osborne, Shadow Chancellor, is not that whether he did or didn't solicit a donation from an impermissible donor - although his own admissions seem to bring the decision down on the did rather than didn't side of the fence - but his scandalous economic policies.

George Osborne says "high petrol prices are a scandal". But what the Tory hypocrite in waiting doesn't say is that he wants to pump up the prices at the pump himself.

The real question Osborne and Cameron should be answering is not "Why are you touching up Russian oligarchs for cash? Has Lord Overseas Ashcroft run out of money?" but "WHY DO YOU WANT TO PUT 5P TAX ON UNLEADED PETROL TODAY?"

With BP anouncing profits of £70m PER HOUR, it is mind-blowing that the Tories want to squeeze the ordinary hard-working families with this new Tory Tax.

Cameron's (oil)slick PR machine thought a green tax would win headlines but it would in fact add millions of pounds to British families’ tax bills because of changing oil prices. If Mondeo man is still the person politicians want to win over to win elections, then Cameron and Osborne may want to explain why Mondeo Man will be paying £3.50 a tank more at the pump under the Tories.

As the Labour Party say, "When times are tough and people are worried about their cost of living, this just shows the risk of putting a headline-seeking novice in charge".

Face-off in the States

As the polls in the States close again, the Republicans have unleashed a (they thought) powerful attack site against Barack Obama.

Modeled on Facebook, BarackBook shows a whole range of 'friends' of the Democrat candidate and seeks to damn him by association. The site itself is a pretty poor parody of Facebook, and as an amteur production makes the Republican use of the net seem, well, amateur. Even worse for McCain, the offical facebook application which points to BarackBook has been over-run by Democrats.

BarackBook is, however, a one-stop shop for the major Republican attack videos. Once people have got over  wetting themselves with laughter at the ineptitude of the McCain geeks, those pages may gain some traction. Although this attack site isn't landing punhes yet, it's still in the ring.

A wee message

Gordon Brown will still be Prime Minister when the by-election result in Glasgow East is declared in an hour or so's time.

People at the count are now predicting an SNP win by 1,000 or more. This will be a very serious set back but it was a campaign based solely on the SNP saying let's send a wee message to Gordon Brown. It looks clear that the message will be sent.

The main thing now will be how Labour responds.

If it is yet another series of policy announcements then the message won't have been understood. What is required is not yet more policy but current policy effectively delivered. On top of that a clear statement of Labour values - maybe by way of a little pledge card.

And someone needs to get a grip of the narrative coming from Labour. Where the hell is is Ali Campbell?